tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-36646589.post2963708730997974353..comments2023-10-30T19:03:59.225+01:00Comments on David Seaton's News Links: HandicappingDavid Seaton's Newslinkshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00269813419598042699noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-36646589.post-79674068475643376592008-09-20T19:19:00.000+02:002008-09-20T19:19:00.000+02:00Fivethirtyeight.com list polls now using cell phon...Fivethirtyeight.com list polls now using cell phones. Their numbers tend to be some 2.3-2.8 more favorable to Obama.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-36646589.post-71062220467573462512008-09-18T21:28:00.000+02:002008-09-18T21:28:00.000+02:00The Obama campaign has been pushing the cell phone...The Obama campaign has been pushing the cell phone theory for awhile, but it's not clear whether or not they actually believe it. I don't know, myself. It's one of those things that we'll find out in November, I guess. (I don't recall offhand, however, any Obama primary wins with a lot of surprise votes that were attributed to cell phone voters.)<BR/><BR/>Historically, the electorate's response to bad economic news before an election is to dump the party in power. Maybe worries about Obama will trump that, but that's the pattern.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com