But here is the sad reality impinging on unemployment. For there was greater social risk to the compact, too, and it was not hard to imagine what became of car mechanics who, unlike Dave, were not prepared to hold up their end of the deal. You ran into many such people in rural New Hampshire: not-quite-enough schooling, too much beer, too much TV.It was precisely because direct labor used to be so simple, mechanical and yet critical to value creation that labor unions made sense. The logic behind unions may still apply to some kinds of work—fast-food servers, apparel assemblers, hospital orderlies. But any job that is simple and repetitive, that requires so little individual creativity that an employee would rather join a union than negotiate an individual career path, has become a prime target for the computer-integrative technologies. All of this has meant that tens of millions of people—people with children, people hobbled by dullness and self-doubt, people who played by rules that simply evaporated from the time they were 15 to the time they were 35—are hard pressed to see a future. Bernard Avishai
What impressed me most is that the anger wasn't from "people hobbled by dullness and self-doubt" or people with, "not-quite-enough schooling, too much beer, too much TV". No, it came from precisely the people that the system had prepared -- using Avishai's phrase -- to "negotiate an individual career path", even people with post-graduate degrees.
The system is failing them and believe me these are the dangerous ones for a system to fail.
If you have read a bit about revolutions you'll remember that they are not put into motion by the uneducated, those who consume "too much beer and too much TV" -- no matter how oppressed they are -- but by the dissatisfied intellectuals of the middle class, those who have the necessary skills, knowlege and tools to first understand and then to subvert the system.
From time to time the uneducated, the sans cullote rise up in their blind desperation, but if there is not a group of intellectuals who are prepared to channel that anger it soon blows over and fades. It is the intellectuals that turn rebellions into revolutions.
I don't remember ever seeing this type of third world intellectual's anger in educated Americans before. During the sixties, American university students rebeled against the war, the draft, racial segregation and so forth, but the anger I sense in the comments to Avishai's post is traditional class anger. This is the anger of people, who as Avishai says, "played by rules that simply evaporated from the time they were 15 to the time they were 35", and despite their education, "are hard pressed to see a future".
Here is a small sample of the abuse he received. I recommend reading it all as the quality of some of the comments is superb:
Bernard Avishai, that condescending, anti-union, globalist jerk, has a summer-house near Wilmot, New Hampshire. He thinks anybody who isn't very, very smart should be very, very poor, or, better still, just fucking die.
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Tell me about the high level of "risk" in the life or the real owners of our "ownership society," you know, the Goldman Sachs fraternity, the Paris Hiltons, the George Bushs, the Robert Rubins, the Tom Friedmans, the Warren Buffets? How come nobody re-engineers Tom Friedman's job so it can be done more intelligently? What "risk" means for the top dogs at Lehman Brothers or AIG? If owning the "means of production" means so little these days, why can't we have it?
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The picture one gets from this anecdote is that the contemporary world is just so inherently fraught with dynamic change and ceaseless creative destruction that no one can survive any more on average, stolid intelligence and workaday responsibility. Everyone in America now has to become a "creative thinker" and an entrepreneur, and spend their brief moment on Earth restlessly "negotiating an individual career path" to keep up with the torrent of change. To me, that sounds like a very annoying, stressful, spiritually lonely and unsettled way to live.(...) I am appalled by the amount of intellectual talent that is drawn to edgy, decadent and expensive outposts of human desire and craving, while the fundamentals of human life are neglected and taken for granted. Our lives seem deeply out of balance.
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I am really glad you live in the rarefied world of successful entrepreneurs and innovators. The rest of us have to exist too. We have to buy that stuff. Your disdainful conceit is nauseating. I know a lot of great hardworking smart people and this economy is utterly failing them. My whole life has been watching our middle class struggle to stay in place. (...) I am relatively young (early 30's), and this is the experience of my generation. I have friends who have already gone through 3 career changes already- mimicking the economy at large (dot.com, real estate, service, etc.). I know engineers that have spent their last employed months training overseas replacements. One was just laid off from a good printer company (the one that gave Carly 20mil plus) and now works a late night fish taco stand. He has a masters from UC Berkeley. He has only one other 'good' job prospect- going to Tianjian to train. On contract. MASTERS. Reminds me of when I would travel in third world countries and used to be shocked that a doctor would be a taxi-driver. I get it now. I know so many older smart hard working people who are now permanently underemployed it, or worse. They have been screwed, and they are not the 'too many beer folks'... Fucking Prick.
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One thing that is ludicrous is how 1980s this blog is. Security for college grads is, in fact, so very 1980s. These days kids graduate with a ton of debt, to a job market that has six applicants for every opening. That's why we recently witnessed a talented recent grad -- double major -- die from lack of health insurance when she came down with H1N1. People who graduated in the 1980s and 1990s have no security either, since there is an army of ready replacements. But hey if it makes you feel good we'll give you a PhD in asshattery.
Mr Avishai's other country, Israel, for example.
Noemi Klein in her seminal book, "The Shock Doctrine", devotes an entire chapter to Israel, entitled "Israel a Warning", where she describes how Israel has been transformed from a labor intensive agricultural exporter to a high tech super power, selling security and weapons technology for the "war on terrorism". This transformation combined simultaneously with a Friedmanesque (Milton) reduction of the previously generous welfare state has been disastrous for a great many Israelis. Few countries have ever changed as drastically as Israel has in such a short time.
These first quotes are from the Israeli mass circulation Yediot Aharonot and the Jewish Journal:
Once idealized as a socialist paradise, the Jewish state is increasingly becoming a country of two classes -- those who have soared in the increasingly capitalist economy and those who have stumbled in its wake.
Despite its much-mythologized egalitarian image, Israel has always experienced economic gaps. But now the divide between haves and have-nots has grown to alarming proportions. If economic policies and other factors have spawned a privileged class, they also have produced a deeply entrenched underclass populated by the elderly, Holocaust survivors, Arabs, immigrants, ultra-Orthodox Jews, single parents -- even two-income families. JewishJournal.com
Israel has bypassed the United States and now leads Western countries when it comes to child poverty figures, according to a grim National Insurance Institute report released Monday.
According to the report, child poverty grew by about 50 percent since 1988, with about a third of all children living below the poverty line. Meanwhile, 28,000 additional families dropped below the poverty line in 2004, comprising 107,000 Israelis, 61,000 of them children. YNet
The reality of poverty in Israel is relatively new to the Israeli consciousness. Hundreds of thousands of Israelis face serious financial hardship-even as Israel has developed into a fledgling economic power, posting impressive gains in gross domestic product (GDP) and achieving dizzying growth on the Tel Aviv stock exchange.
Throughout the 1990s, the poverty rate in Israel climbed steadily. The number of poor Israeli families grew by 4.4 percent of the total population-the sharpest rise in the developed world. Public assistance increased to meet the need; from 1990 to 2001, welfare payments in Israel more than doubled, from about $5 billion annually to more than $10 billion. Nevertheless, the ranks of those living in poverty continued to swell and the socioeconomic gap in Israel between rich and poor rose sharply.
Between 1998 and 2005, child poverty rose 50 percent, to 35 percent of the child population, according to the National Insurance Institute (NII) and Israel's Central Bureau of Statistics. There was a sharp spike in poverty overall between 2002 and 2004, when Israel's then-finance minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, instituted drastic cuts in welfare services. This coincided with the peak years of the Intifada, when the economy flagged as Israel coped with that ongoing crisis.
Although poverty rates in the Jewish state leveled off in 2005, they still remain higher than in any other industrialized country except the United States. "We have had stabilization, but it's not good enough, because we have stabilized at a very high level of poverty," says Miri Endeweld, head of the economic research department at the NII, which manages Israel's welfare system. "When you get to a high level, of course you're going to stabilize. How high can you go?"
And it is not just that poverty has risen. In 2004, Israel also had the second-largest gap between rich and poor among industrialized countries; only Taiwan's was larger. Israel's income gap was twice as large as that of the United States. To wit: While luxury homes with two-car garages are built in the beach town of Caesarea, residents in the next town on the other side of Israel's coastal highway use food stamps at local supermarkets in Or Akiva. Bnai Brith
Over 400,000 families in Israel suffer from "nutritional insecurity," a euphemistic term for "hunger." 28% of Israeli citizens, or 1,600,000 people are living in poverty. Among them are more than 600,000 hungry children. Those experiencing "nutritional insecurity" eat smaller portions, skip meals and, in extreme cases, don't eat for a whole day. Diets may be high in carbohydrates and lacking or almost devoid of meat, dairy products, vegetables and fruit. In Israel, 22% of families are deemed moderately insecure and 8% suffer from severe insecurity. A family's situation is considered moderately insecure when the parents deprive themselves of food to ensure their children get what they need. In families whose situation is severe, the children are deprived as well. 60% of nutritionally insecure are Jewish, 20% are Arab, and 20% new immigrants. 80% of nutritionally insecure people reported a deterioration in their situation in the last 22 years, as Israel economic conditions have deteriorated. About 24% of Israelis are forced to make choices between food and other expenses such as mortgage, rent, medicine, heating and electricity. About half choose to get along with less food. The 'poverty line' in Israel in 2002 was NIS 4,500 a month ($937.50) for the average Israeli family of four - mother, father and two children. Signs of how severe the problem is are all too apparent on the streets of Israel. In Jerusalem, for example, nearly 1,000 people a day come to four soup kitchens at which hot meals are served. It is also commonplace to see older men and women picking through the garbage at outdoor markets in Israel's cities. The collapse of the economy has taken a great toll on the lives of Israel's poorest families, and many children from middle-class families are now joining their ranks. Unemployment in Israel is around 20%, and the difficult economic situation has taken its toll on huge numbers of Israelis. Israel News Agency
Economists are bracing for an early warning about what toll the world economic crisis may be taking on Israel’s population. Popular wisdom is that Israel is weathering the current world financial storm, with the economy faring well given the circumstances. Last August, the Bank of Israel revised its forecasts of growth in 2009 to one of stability from a reduction of 1.5% in GDP. But this offers little comfort for many ordinary Israeli householders. Figures set for release later in October by the government’s Central Bureau of Statistics show that even when the economy was at its very strongest, in 2007, more and more Israelis had difficulties putting food on the table. That year, the country’s economy grew by 5.4% — faster than the United States, Europe, the United Kingdom and Japan. But the percentage of Israelis who went without food for economic reasons at some point during 2007 stood at 21%, up significantly from 14% in 2003. “I am afraid that the figures for 2009 will not be better, but rather even worse,” said Yosef Katan, an expert on poverty in Israel from Tel Aviv University’s School of Social Work.(...) The universal measurement of inequality in a society is a complex mathematical calculation called the Gini coefficient. The lower the number- — between 0 and 100 — the more equal income distribution is in a society. Israel’s score in the latest UN-published table is 39.2. This is higher than all other western industrialized nations but for the United States at 40.8. Most European countries have scores in the high twenties or low thirties. Back in the 1950s, Israel boasted some of the lowest scores in the world. The Forward
Israel was a country specifically created to keep the Jewish people safe from harm. An economic system which fails miserably to fulfill the founding "mission statement" of such a state, can certainly not be expected to produce results in any country, especially in one which like the United States has repeatedly shown that it has no such protective view of its citizens.
The anger and frustration of the educated and the skillful will surely find an outlet in action. What form that action will take I do not know.
Certainly I think the progressive community of the United States deserves a better home than the Democratic party. Things have to get done, people have to get organized, strikes and demonstrations have to be called and the Democrats are never going to do any of that... They exist so that those things wont ever happen. DS