Friday, February 11, 2011

Cairo: the revolution will be televised

"Liberty Leading the People"
Delacroix, Eugene
Musée du Louvre, Paris


Anonymous said...

Has it crossed your mind that the Revolution may already be over?


Mubarak's default plan was to have no Vice-President and official heir apparent then to probably manoeuver his son into power, as in Syria, and have the son continue the party's gravy train.

It wasn't up to the party to maintain or to not maintain order leading up to this brouhaha and Mubarak's resignation, but the security forces. Now Mubarak is gone, and Suleiman, who wasn't universally loved by Egyptians may or may not stay in power. This discontent by the masses ended Mubarak 2.0, and the party is over for the party.

But the only two institutions that can hold Egypt together, and prevent anarchy are the army and the brotherhood, both of whose ranks may not want Suleiman around. I wouldn't be surprised in the least if the army and brotherhood haven't already reached agreements, tacit or explicit, on how everything will go down.

The mob can bray, but not govern.

Anonymous said...

I have a different take on "the Revolution."

I suspect the Egyptian army, which had put all the previous Egyptian leaders in living memory, was loath to see Gamal Mubarak, who had few ties to the army, but a coterie of cronies in the ruling party, get into office.

So the security services, perhaps with a wink and a nod, let riots get out of control, until Mubarak pere and fils left.

Anonymous said...

These explain so much.

Mubarak about to die, those who didn't want the party and cronies to take over let the lid off.